Trade Secrets
Trade Secrets: Dailies 04.02.2026
US stock futures slumped Wednesday night after equities kicked off the second quarter with modest gains, while investors parsed a national address by the president on the state of the war in Iran.
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During the bull run of the past couple of years I must’ve mentioned it at least a dozen times. It started looking like the only way the market would decline is if a big war started.
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US stock futures made gains Tuesday evening following a powerful rally across Wall Street to wrap up Q1, while investors weighed remarks from Trump that indicate he may be winding down hostilities against Iran.
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US stock futures jumped Monday night after comments from Trump indicate he is willing to end the war in Iran without opening the Strait of Hormuz.
Iran enters 2026 as one of the most paradoxical economies in the world — possessing the 4th largest oil reserves globally and significant industrial capacity, yet operating under a comprehensive sanctions regime that has severed it from the global financial system
By the end of February 2026, the global economy remains resilient but increasingly uneven, with growth concentrated in a small number of regions and sectors while others continue to struggle with structural constraints.
Trade wars are often treated as temporary disruptions—policy disagreements that escalate, peak, and eventually resolve through negotiation. This interpretation misunderstands the nature of economic competition between states.
Microsoft CEO Satya Nadella announced the “world’s most powerful AI datacenter” Fairwater on his Linkedin post in September 2025 dripped with techno-triumphalism, LinkedIn erupted in applause, but I didn’t.
Bob Dylan's song "The Times They Are A-Changin'" became an anthem for change and a commentary on the social upheavals of the 1960s. However, its message is timeless and can be applied to various periods of economic uncertainty, including those characterized by stagflation.
In late 2024, Michael Saylor, doubled down on his Bitcoin vision with an audacious plan. Saylor's strategy involved raising billions through convertible debt to purchase more Bitcoin. This bold move was met with excitement by many, but I saw the cracks in the strategy
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