Trade Secrets
US stock futures inched up Thursday evening after President Donald Trump said Israel and Lebanon had agreed to a 10-day ceasefire.
Jack of All Trades
Nasdaq 12-day streak (longest since 2009); S&P 7,041 ATH. TSMC record $35.9B rev +41%, profit +58%; PEP snacks volume recovered; NFLX crushed EPS $1.23 vs $0.76 but Q2 margin miss −10% AH. SKORE: TSM 8.2 · PEP 6.4 · NFLX 6.8.
Trade Secrets
U.S. equity futures were slightly lower to mixed ahead of the open. Nasdaq futures showed mild weakness, with tech under light pressure. S&P 500 and Dow futures were near flat to slightly negative.
New Zealand enters 2026 in recovery mode after a technical recession in 2023–24 driven by aggressive RBNZ rate hikes, a cost-of-living squeeze, and weak consumer confidence.
I’m going to share the smartest post I’ve seen the whole year. I saw it the other day and for some reason I got distracted and didn’t copy it for you. I’m paraphrasing but it goes something like this: if you want to make money, be sure to look in places where nobody else is looking.
As blockspace scales and transaction costs fall, differentiation between chains is shifting from cost to use-case specialization.
The Goldilocks macro environment that opened 2026 ended on 28 February. US-Israel strikes on Iran triggered the largest oil supply disruption on record. Growth forecasts cut. Inflation forecasts raised. The stagflation risk is back — with less ammunition to fight it.
Iran enters 2026 as one of the most paradoxical economies in the world — possessing the 4th largest oil reserves globally and significant industrial capacity, yet operating under a comprehensive sanctions regime that has severed it from the global financial system
By the end of February 2026, the global economy remains resilient but increasingly uneven, with growth concentrated in a small number of regions and sectors while others continue to struggle with structural constraints.
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