Trade Secrets
Trade Secrets: Dailies 02.20.2026
US stock futures rose Thursday evening as investors braced for a heavy slate of economic data after the end of a three-day winning streak for the Dow and S&P 500.
Trade Secrets
Oil found a high and going sideways. It stalled again as Trump did NOT start a war with Iran the day after Netanyahu departed. But over the weekend there was plenty of news regarding a new war with Iran
Jack of All Trades
Walmart: Omnichannel dominance meets AI-powered commerce—Sparky agent driving 35% higher AOV, advertising $8B run-rate, but consumer bifurcation (sub-$50K stressed) + tariff/pharmacy headwinds cap upside. Deere: Cyclical bottom confirmed (large ag -15-20% offset by construction +34%, small ag +24%)
Jack of All Trades
Walmart Q4 revenue $190.7B (+4.9% constant currency) beat, eCommerce +24%, Walmart Connect +41%, but FY27 EPS guide $2.75-2.85 missed Street $2.96—stock +2% on AI optimism. Deere Q1 crushed (EPS $2.42 beat $1.92) on construction/small ag recovery, raised FY26 guide to $4.5-5B, stock +11.5%.
Trade wars are often treated as temporary disruptions—policy disagreements that escalate, peak, and eventually resolve through negotiation. This interpretation misunderstands the nature of economic competition between states.
January kicked off on a strong note with the total digital asset market cap reaching ~$3.4T as BTC rallied to $97K. However, momentum faded mid-month as geopolitical developments, including the pursuit of Greenland and renewed tariff uncertainty with European nations weighed on risk assets
By the end of January 2026, the global economy appears stable on the surface but increasingly divergent underneath. Global growth remains near trend, supported by technology-driven capital expenditure, resilient U.S. demand, and strong momentum across India and parts of Southeast Asia.
Microsoft CEO Satya Nadella announced the “world’s most powerful AI datacenter” Fairwater on his Linkedin post in September 2025 dripped with techno-triumphalism, LinkedIn erupted in applause, but I didn’t.
Bob Dylan's song "The Times They Are A-Changin'" became an anthem for change and a commentary on the social upheavals of the 1960s. However, its message is timeless and can be applied to various periods of economic uncertainty, including those characterized by stagflation.
In late 2024, Michael Saylor, doubled down on his Bitcoin vision with an audacious plan. Saylor's strategy involved raising billions through convertible debt to purchase more Bitcoin. This bold move was met with excitement by many, but I saw the cracks in the strategy
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Spyre Therapeutics (NASDAQ:SYRE – Get Free Report) released its quarterly earnings results on Thursday. The company reported ($0.70) earnings per share (EPS) for the quarter, missing analysts’ consensus estimates of ($0.66) by ($0.04), FiscalAI reports. Spyre Therapeutics Trading Up 3.3% Shares of NASDAQ:SYRE traded up
Rimini Street (NASDAQ:RMNI – Get Free Report) issued its quarterly earnings data on Thursday. The company reported $0.04 earnings per share for the quarter, missing the consensus estimate of $0.09 by ($0.05), Zacks reports. Rimini Street had a net margin of 10.10% and a negative return
Texas Roadhouse (NASDAQ:TXRH – Get Free Report) issued its quarterly earnings results on Thursday. The restaurant operator reported $1.28 earnings per share for the quarter, missing the consensus estimate of $1.57 by ($0.29), FiscalAI reports. Texas Roadhouse had a return on equity of 30.59% and a
Universal Display (NASDAQ:OLED – Get Free Report) posted its earnings results on Thursday. The semiconductor company reported $1.39 earnings per share (EPS) for the quarter, topping analysts’ consensus estimates of $1.28 by $0.11, FiscalAI reports. The firm had revenue of $172.93 million during the quarter, compared
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Metallus (MTUS) Q4 earnings: EPS and revenue miss, liquidity $389M, USW labor deal, order book +50%, EBITDA improving in 2026. Read Full Article →
Howard Hughes posted Q4 earnings late Thursday of $0.10 per diluted share, down from $3.25 a year earlier. One analyst surveyed by FactSet expected $0.31. Revenue for the three months ended Dec.... Read Full Article →
Simon Harris has said he intends to take the first steps towards the introduction of a savings and investment account (SIA) in the next few weeks. Speaking at t... Read Full Article →
Deere shares surged to a fresh high Thursday after the tractor maker's earnings topped analysts' estimates. Read Full Article →
The Truckee company whose guides and ski group were swept away Tuesday in the deadliest avalanche in California history said it was grieving the tragedy as it worked to learn more about the catastrophe. Read Full Article →
QBE Insurance Group reported Friday 2025 adjusted earnings of $1.413 per basic share, up from $1.152 a year earlier. Analysts polled by FactSet expected earnings of $1.31. Gross written premium... Read Full Article →
AI efficiencies promise to transform Amazon.com, Inc.'s $200 billion-per-year logistics network. Click here to find out why AMZN stock is a Strong Buy. Read Full Article →