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For most of modern economic history, currency functioned as the universal mediator of exchange. Price determined allocation. Those who could pay gained access; those who could not were excluded.
Wednesday's Mag 7 trio revealed Wall Street's new AI calculus: META +10% on proving monetization despite $125B capex. MSFT -10% erasing $357B on Azure deceleration despite beat. TSLA +2% on Energy strength + Optimus bet. ROI proof required immediately. Potential no longer valued
META proved AI monetization (Q4 +24% revenue, $125B 2026 capex, +10% stock). MSFT showed AI cost without return (Azure 39% decel from 40%, $37.5B capex, -10% stock erasing $357B). TSLA ended Model S/X, pivots to Optimus robots. AI proof > AI potential. Deceleration = death
Tuesday's three took the pain today for easier comps tomorrow. GM abandoned EV targets, UNH absorbed cyberattack/Medicare cuts, TXN harvesting 300mm investment. Markets rewarded honesty: GM +9%, TXN +10%, UNH flat. Lowering bars telegraphs beats. Capital discipline over growth-at-any-cost.
