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Trade Secrets: Dailies 08.11.2026

US Stocks open modestly higher as Nvidia's $500 billion AI infrastructure financing deal with six Wall Street giants lifts the tape and oil erases an earlier surge on fresh Hormuz deal optimism

Trade Secrets: Dailies 08.11.2026

US Stocks open modestly higher as Nvidia's $500 billion AI infrastructure financing deal with six Wall Street giants lifts the tape and oil erases an earlier surge on fresh Hormuz deal optimism — even as multiple FOMC members signal a September hike remains possible, setting up Wednesday's July CPI as the most consequential inflation print since May.

  • S&P 500 futures rose 0.2% to around 7,785 and Nasdaq-100 futures gained 0.4% heading into Tuesday's open, recovering from Monday's muted session in which the S&P 500 dipped 0.06% to 7,753.11 — just below its record closing high of 7,757.64 set Friday — while the Dow fell 0.11% to 53,975.98 and the Nasdaq Composite declined 0.32% to 26,605.36. Monday's session was dragged by Nvidia falling 2.79% and Intel plunging over 4%, partly offset by Chevron surging 4.38% on oil's initial spike and Salesforce gaining 2%. Polymarket's August 11 contract implied a 59% probability of a higher open.
  • Nvidia (NVDA) jumped 1.5% in premarket after announcing it has signed memoranda of understanding with Apollo Global Management, BlackRock, Blackstone, Brookfield Asset Management, Goldman Sachs, and KKR to establish dedicated AI infrastructure financing platforms targeting over $500 billion in third-party capital. The announcement — one of the largest private capital mobilizations in history — is designed to fund the buildout of AI data centers globally using Nvidia hardware and is being read as a structural endorsement of the AI capex supercycle by the world's largest alternative asset managers. Anthropic separately struck a $9 billion computing deal described in the press as a significant expansion of its AI training infrastructure, while IBM and Together AI signed a $240 million open-source AI inference deal.
  • Intel (INTC) fell a further 1.5% in premarket, extending Monday's 4% decline, after the company upsized its equity offering to $20 billion from the previously announced $15 billion — the largest single stock sale in Intel's history — with the offering priced at at least $95 per share, roughly a 6.5% discount to the prior close. The upsized deal drew more than $100 billion in demand per reports, underscoring investor appetite for Intel's foundry buildout even as the dilution weighed on shares. Coherent (COHR) fell 14.24% in Monday's session as optical stocks pulled back after prior FCC-related gains, and Lumentum Holdings (LITE) dropped 8.61% in sympathy. Datadog (DDOG) surged 11.48% in premarket after strong Q2 results and a series of analyst price target upgrades following Monday's after-hours report.
  • Rocket Lab (RKLB) fell more than 7% in after-hours Monday despite reporting record Q1 revenue of $200.3 million — up 63.5% year-on-year — with a $2.2 billion backlog and $663 million in new defense wins, as a loss per share of 8 cents exceeded the 6 cent estimate and uncertainty around the Neutron rocket's maiden flight timeline disappointed. The Reserve Bank of Australia held rates at 4.35% Tuesday as widely expected — Westpac had noted that soft Q2 CPI gives the RBA room to hold — while Singapore's MAS maintained its 2026 CPI forecast and said monetary policy remains appropriate. Singapore's final Q2 GDP was healthy, prompting its Ministry of Trade and Industry to more than double its 2026 growth forecast to a range of 4.5%–5.5%.
  • Wednesday's July CPI is the session's forward-looking focus. Economists expect headline inflation to rise 0.1% month-on-month and core CPI to increase 0.2% — both benign readings that would reduce September hike odds further. However, multiple FOMC members signaled over the weekend that a September hike remains possible if inflation data surprises to the upside, keeping the print as the most market-sensitive data point of the week. The 10-year Treasury yield held at 4.672% after briefly spiking toward its 2026 closing peak during Monday's session before oil's retreat pulled yields back.
  • Iran and Oman talks on a new Hormuz shipping framework advanced materially Tuesday, with Qatar's foreign ministry spokesperson confirming the negotiations are at an "advanced stage." Oil erased an earlier 5% gain driven by Trump hardening his rhetoric against Tehran — demanding Iran compensate victims' families and Middle Eastern countries for war damage — as the Oman mediation news took hold. Brent crude pulled back from its morning spike and WTI settled near $80 per barrel. Citi maintained its Q3 Brent forecast at $80 a barrel and its Q4 target at $70, with a 2027 average of $65 — implying oil's war premium is expected to dissipate gradually rather than all at once.
  • Japan's Nikkei 225 was closed Tuesday for the Mountain Day public holiday, removing one of Asia's most volatile AI-linked benchmarks from the regional tape for the session. South Korea's KOSPI closed up 0.73% at 6,345.53, extending its recovery for a second straight session, as foreign investors continued to rotate into defense, financials, and industrials rather than the large-cap chip names — Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix were little changed even as the broader index gained. South Korea's chip exports for the first 10 days of August rose 155% year-on-year, with chips comprising approximately 47% of total export value for the period — a reminder that the underlying demand cycle remains intact despite the market's extraordinary volatility. Hong Kong's Hang Seng fell 1.03% and China's CSI 300 dropped 0.79%, with mainland markets lagging on continued property sector concerns and muted policy signals from Beijing. Australia's S&P/ASX 200 added 0.19% after the RBA hold. European indexes including the FTSE 100, CAC 40, and DAX all traded below the flatline.

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This daily briefing is curated from a wide range of reputable sources including news wires, research desks, and financial data providers. The insights presented here are a synthesis of key developments across global markets, intended to inform and spark thought.

No Investment Advice: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, recommendation, or endorsement.

Timing Note: Each edition is assembled based on the market context available at the time of writing. Timing, emphasis, and interpretations may vary depending on global developments and publishing windows.

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