Trade Secrets
Trade Secrets
August's crypto rally took a breather this week as Fed Chair Warsh's first speech at the Jackson Hole summit reversed sentiment. After briefly breaking past $80K on three attempts, BTC pulled back as Warsh kept a September rate hike on the table, pushing market-implied odds to ~60%.
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US Stocks open broadly higher after August nonfarm payrolls smash expectations — 162,000 jobs added versus the 53,000–56,000 consensus — slashing September rate hike odds back toward 50/50 from the near-certainty that had built after Warsh's Jackson Hole speech
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US Stocks open flat to mixed on the penultimate session before the long Labor Day weekend as Snowflake's 24% surge and Dell's blowout echo across the software tape while Broadcom's guidance miss and HPE's margin warning weigh on hardware names
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US Stocks open mixed as Dell's extraordinary earnings triple — adjusted EPS of $7.04 versus the $4.91 estimate on revenue up nearly 60% year-on-year — collides with the weakest ADP private payroll print since January
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US Stocks open September under pressure as two oil tankers — one Saudi, one South Korean-owned — were struck by projectiles in the Strait of Hormuz overnight in the latest sign the six-month Iran war is locked in an unbreakable stalemate
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US Stocks open lower to close out August as Warsh's unexpectedly hawkish Jackson Hole debut pushes September rate hike odds above 60%, oil surges back above $90 on renewed US-Iran strikes, and gold slides $50
Trade Secrets
I hope you’ve had a chance to see Warsh’s speech at Jackson Hole. After all, it was his first as Fed chairman. A lot of people view it as a waste of time, but I find the Fed fascinating.
Trade Secrets
US Stocks open split to close out the week as Wall Street holds its breath for Fed Chair Kevin Warsh's 10:00 a.m. ET Jackson Hole keynote — his first as chair and the most anticipated Fed speech since Warsh took over in June
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The US Treasury announced an expansion of its liquidity support buyback operations for longer-dated securities, doubling the programme from $2 billion to at least $4 billion.
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US Stocks open broadly higher as Nvidia's 15th consecutive earnings beat — revenue of $96.2 billion up 106% year-on-year and fiscal 2028 guidance implying 70% growth — reignites the AI trade and pushes Nasdaq-100 futures up 0.9%